Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.921388e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000073
2025-02-16 2.368121e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094
2025-02-23 1.871856e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000084 0.000108
2025-03-02 1.441809e-05 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000066 0.000088 0.000116
2025-03-09 1.154376e-05 0.000020 0.000031 0.000046 0.000067 0.000092 0.000126
2025-03-16 9.371223e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000096 0.000135
2025-03-23 7.808512e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000101 0.000145
2025-03-30 6.482636e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000044 0.000070 0.000106 0.000155
2025-04-06 5.189948e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000043 0.000070 0.000108 0.000162
2025-04-13 3.905632e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000068 0.000108 0.000164
2025-04-20 3.076178e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000068 0.000109 0.000170
2025-04-27 2.576487e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000038 0.000069 0.000113 0.000179
2025-05-04 2.023914e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000038 0.000070 0.000118 0.000190
2025-05-11 1.855043e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000076 0.000130 0.000211
2025-05-18 1.443589e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000135 0.000223
2025-05-25 1.003558e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000136 0.000228
2025-06-01 7.228168e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000037 0.000076 0.000139 0.000237
2025-06-08 5.179442e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000246
2025-06-15 3.816249e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000146 0.000257
2025-06-22 2.715746e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000079 0.000151 0.000267
2025-06-29 1.717484e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000034 0.000078 0.000152 0.000274
2025-07-06 8.787196e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000031 0.000075 0.000150 0.000275
2025-07-13 4.734559e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000151 0.000281